The Indian Wells tournament is one of the biggest of the year outside of the Grand Slams, so I'm here with a preview and predictions for how the Women's bracket will turn out. After the jump, I present a table for percentages for all 96 players competing and how they will do.
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| Stock tournament image, ©printyourbrackets.com |
But before the full table, some highlights I want to pick out.
- Serena Williams is the favourite to win the title based on her previous form, she has a 15.18% chance of winning the title. Simona Halep is 2nd favourite with 13.49%, Caroline Wozniacki is 3rd with 10% and Elina Svitolina 4th with 9.99%.
- Kristina Mladenovic has a really easy draw compared to other players with a similar ELO rating. I have her as the 35th most likely winner, while she is only the 50th highest ranked player here.
- On the other hand, Zarina Diyas has a tough draw. She is the 84th most likely winner, but she is the 62nd highest ranked player competing.
- The toughest 1st round draw went to Naomi Osaka, as she's the 93rd most likely player to progress to round 2, but she's ranked 34th of the competitors.
- Danielle Collins got the easiest 1st round draw, as she's the 58th most likely player to advance to round 2, while she's the 88th highest ranked competitor here.
Here's the full table. Want to be the 1st to hear of new updates? Follow
@tennis_elo on Twitter.
| # |
Name |
ELO |
R1 % |
R2 % |
R3 % |
R4 % |
R5 % |
R6 % |
R7 % |
| 1 |
Simona Halep |
1828 |
100.00% |
87.31% |
67.72% |
52.88% |
38.01% |
24.07% |
13.49% |
| 2 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 3 |
Duan Yingying |
1495 |
50.58% |
6.48% |
2.25% |
0.79% |
0.22% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 4 |
Kristyna Pliskova |
1491 |
49.42% |
6.21% |
2.12% |
0.74% |
0.20% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 5 |
Shelby Rogers |
1542 |
54.02% |
19.09% |
4.07% |
1.69% |
0.57% |
0.15% |
0.03% |
| 6 |
Caroline Dolehide |
1514 |
45.98% |
14.60% |
2.78% |
1.05% |
0.32% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
| 7 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 8 |
Dominika Cibulkova |
1647 |
100.00% |
66.32% |
21.06% |
11.83% |
5.67% |
2.19% |
0.71% |
| 9 |
Elise Mertens |
1653 |
100.00% |
56.62% |
37.06% |
13.54% |
6.60% |
2.61% |
0.86% |
| 10 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 11 |
Wang Qiang |
1551 |
37.60% |
13.43% |
6.90% |
1.74% |
0.61% |
0.16% |
0.04% |
| 12 |
Timea Bacsinszky |
1639 |
62.40% |
29.94% |
19.05% |
6.64% |
3.11% |
1.17% |
0.37% |
| 13 |
Samantha Stosur |
1555 |
58.13% |
29.57% |
11.46% |
2.94% |
1.04% |
0.29% |
0.06% |
| 14 |
Lauren Davis |
1498 |
41.87% |
17.88% |
5.61% |
1.14% |
0.33% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
| 15 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 16 |
Kristina Mladenovic |
1549 |
100.00% |
52.55% |
19.94% |
5.00% |
1.73% |
0.47% |
0.10% |
| 17 |
Johanna Konta |
1682 |
100.00% |
74.38% |
40.83% |
22.52% |
9.92% |
4.31% |
1.57% |
| 18 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 19 |
Marketa Vondrousova |
1523 |
59.80% |
17.10% |
5.74% |
1.93% |
0.49% |
0.12% |
0.02% |
| 20 |
Madison Brengle |
1454 |
40.20% |
8.53% |
2.18% |
0.56% |
0.11% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 21 |
Aryna Sabalenka |
1557 |
57.01% |
18.10% |
7.10% |
2.70% |
0.78% |
0.22% |
0.05% |
| 22 |
Varvara Lepchenko |
1508 |
42.99% |
11.16% |
3.69% |
1.18% |
0.28% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 23 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 24 |
Svetlana Kuznetsova |
1690 |
100.00% |
70.74% |
40.46% |
22.77% |
10.26% |
4.57% |
1.71% |
| 25 |
Barbora Strycova |
1692 |
100.00% |
76.64% |
46.94% |
25.75% |
11.67% |
5.23% |
1.97% |
| 26 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 27 |
Petra Martic |
1520 |
65.84% |
17.84% |
6.70% |
2.13% |
0.54% |
0.13% |
0.02% |
| 28 |
Tatjana Maria |
1406 |
34.16% |
5.52% |
1.33% |
0.26% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 29 |
Belinda Bencic |
1503 |
42.01% |
12.71% |
3.98% |
1.19% |
0.28% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 30 |
Timea Babos |
1559 |
57.99% |
21.73% |
8.29% |
3.04% |
0.89% |
0.25% |
0.06% |
| 31 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 32 |
Jelena Ostapenko |
1648 |
100.00% |
65.56% |
32.77% |
15.97% |
6.34% |
2.47% |
0.80% |
| 33 |
Garbine Muguruza |
1745 |
100.00% |
80.32% |
47.88% |
30.49% |
15.67% |
8.36% |
3.74% |
| 34 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 35 |
Eugenie Bouchard |
1495 |
48.42% |
9.28% |
2.44% |
0.74% |
0.16% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 36 |
Sachia Vickery |
1506 |
51.58% |
10.40% |
2.86% |
0.91% |
0.21% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 37 |
Naomi Osaka |
1597 |
33.00% |
13.40% |
4.89% |
2.13% |
0.69% |
0.23% |
0.06% |
| 38 |
Maria Sharapova |
1720 |
67.00% |
38.95% |
20.49% |
12.37% |
5.94% |
2.97% |
1.23% |
| 39 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 40 |
Agnieszka Radwanska |
1663 |
100.00% |
47.65% |
21.43% |
11.27% |
4.56% |
1.93% |
0.66% |
| 41 |
Coco Vandeweghe |
1658 |
100.00% |
70.20% |
36.91% |
16.13% |
6.43% |
2.68% |
0.90% |
| 42 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 43 |
Kurumi Nara |
1444 |
36.26% |
8.19% |
2.11% |
0.40% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 44 |
Kaia Kanepi |
1542 |
63.74% |
21.61% |
8.03% |
2.32% |
0.61% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
| 45 |
Donna Vekic |
1475 |
48.71% |
11.20% |
3.51% |
0.77% |
0.15% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
| 46 |
Maria Sakkari |
1484 |
51.29% |
12.27% |
3.98% |
0.91% |
0.19% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 47 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 48 |
Ashleigh Barty |
1685 |
100.00% |
76.53% |
45.45% |
21.57% |
9.35% |
4.23% |
1.56% |
| 49 |
Petra Kvitova |
1797 |
100.00% |
84.45% |
64.13% |
41.80% |
27.05% |
16.28% |
8.44% |
| 50 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 51 |
Yulia Putintseva |
1490 |
46.55% |
6.79% |
2.48% |
0.68% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 52 |
Alison Van Uytvanck |
1514 |
53.45% |
8.76% |
3.48% |
1.04% |
0.28% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
| 53 |
Amanda Anisimova |
1478 |
52.73% |
15.20% |
2.86% |
0.75% |
0.18% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 54 |
Pauline Parmentier |
1459 |
47.27% |
12.59% |
2.18% |
0.53% |
0.11% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 55 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 56 |
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova |
1635 |
100.00% |
72.21% |
24.86% |
11.05% |
4.70% |
1.82% |
0.56% |
| 57 |
Zhang Shuai |
1551 |
100.00% |
57.82% |
16.84% |
4.80% |
1.52% |
0.43% |
0.10% |
| 58 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 59 |
Sofia Kenin |
1511 |
54.73% |
24.23% |
6.04% |
1.47% |
0.40% |
0.10% |
0.02% |
| 60 |
Claire Liu |
1478 |
45.27% |
17.95% |
3.90% |
0.83% |
0.20% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 61 |
Aleksandra Krunic |
1517 |
45.27% |
8.88% |
4.30% |
1.07% |
0.30% |
0.07% |
0.01% |
| 62 |
Irina-Camelia Begu |
1550 |
54.73% |
12.47% |
6.62% |
1.88% |
0.59% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
| 63 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 64 |
Karolina Pliskova |
1762 |
100.00% |
78.65% |
62.30% |
34.10% |
20.50% |
11.40% |
5.36% |
| 65 |
Venus Williams |
1721 |
100.00% |
73.33% |
27.82% |
15.71% |
7.59% |
3.66% |
1.72% |
| 66 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 67 |
Monica Niculescu |
1534 |
46.98% |
11.94% |
2.38% |
0.76% |
0.19% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 68 |
Sorana Cirstea |
1555 |
53.02% |
14.73% |
3.18% |
1.09% |
0.30% |
0.08% |
0.02% |
| 69 |
Serena Williams |
1885 |
89.38% |
78.86% |
60.05% |
45.79% |
31.74% |
22.11% |
15.18% |
| 70 |
Zarina Diyas |
1515 |
10.62% |
5.01% |
1.47% |
0.43% |
0.10% |
0.02% |
0.01% |
| 71 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 72 |
Kiki Bertens |
1535 |
100.00% |
16.13% |
5.11% |
1.63% |
0.42% |
0.11% |
0.03% |
| 73 |
Anastasija Sevastova |
1639 |
100.00% |
63.28% |
27.02% |
8.16% |
3.07% |
1.14% |
0.41% |
| 74 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 75 |
Monica Puig |
1564 |
56.58% |
22.28% |
7.41% |
1.68% |
0.49% |
0.14% |
0.04% |
| 76 |
Beatriz Haddad Maia |
1518 |
43.42% |
14.44% |
4.05% |
0.76% |
0.18% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 77 |
Vera Zvonareva |
1509 |
50.29% |
10.57% |
3.88% |
0.70% |
0.16% |
0.04% |
0.01% |
| 78 |
Natalia Vikhlyantseva |
1507 |
49.71% |
10.35% |
3.78% |
0.68% |
0.16% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
| 79 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 80 |
Julia Gorges |
1739 |
100.00% |
79.08% |
53.85% |
22.60% |
11.46% |
5.80% |
2.87% |
| 81 |
Madison Keys |
1713 |
100.00% |
80.29% |
53.91% |
24.53% |
10.09% |
4.75% |
2.18% |
| 82 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 83 |
Danielle Collins |
1477 |
52.44% |
10.72% |
3.73% |
0.73% |
0.12% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 84 |
Taylor Townsend |
1460 |
47.56% |
8.99% |
2.94% |
0.54% |
0.08% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 85 |
Sofya Zhuk |
1475 |
34.16% |
10.89% |
2.86% |
0.56% |
0.09% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 86 |
Alize Cornet |
1589 |
65.84% |
31.22% |
12.34% |
3.77% |
1.01% |
0.31% |
0.09% |
| 87 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 88 |
Magdalena Rybarikova |
1607 |
100.00% |
57.90% |
24.22% |
7.88% |
2.25% |
0.75% |
0.24% |
| 89 |
Carla Suarez Navarro |
1626 |
100.00% |
62.59% |
19.09% |
8.91% |
2.74% |
0.97% |
0.33% |
| 90 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 91 |
Carina Witthoft |
1540 |
51.01% |
19.32% |
4.24% |
1.50% |
0.33% |
0.08% |
0.02% |
| 92 |
Hseih Su-Wei |
1533 |
48.99% |
18.09% |
3.86% |
1.33% |
0.28% |
0.07% |
0.02% |
| 93 |
Veronica Cepede Royg |
1499 |
50.00% |
6.81% |
2.52% |
0.77% |
0.14% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
| 94 |
Mona Barthel |
1499 |
50.00% |
6.81% |
2.52% |
0.77% |
0.14% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
| 95 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 96 |
Elina Svitolina |
1820 |
100.00% |
86.39% |
67.76% |
48.71% |
26.83% |
16.52% |
9.99% |
| 97 |
Caroline Garcia |
1736 |
100.00% |
76.87% |
51.18% |
29.62% |
14.88% |
6.42% |
3.15% |
| 98 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 99 |
Jennifer Brady |
1479 |
39.23% |
7.28% |
2.36% |
0.60% |
0.12% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 100 |
Mihaela Buzarnescu |
1555 |
60.77% |
15.85% |
6.69% |
2.27% |
0.63% |
0.14% |
0.04% |
| 101 |
Yanina Wickmayer |
1512 |
54.31% |
16.50% |
4.54% |
1.31% |
0.31% |
0.06% |
0.01% |
| 102 |
Kayla Day |
1482 |
45.69% |
12.27% |
3.00% |
0.77% |
0.16% |
0.03% |
0.00% |
| 103 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 104 |
Daria Gavrilova |
1656 |
100.00% |
71.22% |
32.23% |
15.17% |
6.02% |
1.99% |
0.76% |
| 105 |
Elena Vesnina |
1563 |
100.00% |
49.00% |
14.73% |
5.16% |
1.47% |
0.34% |
0.09% |
| 106 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 107 |
Sara Sorribes Tormo |
1489 |
33.26% |
13.14% |
2.91% |
0.77% |
0.16% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
| 108 |
Catherine Bellis |
1610 |
66.74% |
37.86% |
13.56% |
5.57% |
1.89% |
0.53% |
0.17% |
| 109 |
Ekaterina Makarova |
1653 |
67.38% |
24.16% |
14.84% |
6.96% |
2.73% |
0.89% |
0.34% |
| 110 |
Kirsten Flipkens |
1527 |
32.62% |
6.95% |
3.04% |
0.93% |
0.23% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 111 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 112 |
Angelique Kerber |
1754 |
100.00% |
68.89% |
50.91% |
30.86% |
16.25% |
7.40% |
3.81% |
| 113 |
Sloane Stephens |
1651 |
100.00% |
44.29% |
23.03% |
9.00% |
3.96% |
1.29% |
0.48% |
| 114 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 115 |
Victoria Azarenka |
1739 |
78.60% |
49.05% |
31.33% |
15.72% |
8.82% |
3.84% |
1.90% |
| 116 |
Heather Watson |
1513 |
21.40% |
6.66% |
2.23% |
0.54% |
0.14% |
0.03% |
0.01% |
| 117 |
Christina McHale |
1484 |
38.55% |
9.51% |
2.33% |
0.50% |
0.12% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
| 118 |
Katerina Siniakova |
1565 |
61.45% |
21.07% |
7.12% |
2.08% |
0.68% |
0.16% |
0.04% |
| 119 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 120 |
Daria Kasatkina |
1678 |
100.00% |
69.42% |
33.97% |
14.41% |
6.88% |
2.46% |
1.01% |
| 121 |
Anett Kontaveit |
1575 |
100.00% |
54.85% |
13.96% |
5.07% |
1.73% |
0.42% |
0.12% |
| 122 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 123 |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich |
1561 |
56.58% |
27.15% |
6.53% |
2.26% |
0.73% |
0.17% |
0.04% |
| 124 |
Magda Linette |
1515 |
43.42% |
18.00% |
3.58% |
1.04% |
0.28% |
0.05% |
0.01% |
| 125 |
Lara Arruabarrena |
1477 |
33.39% |
4.09% |
1.57% |
0.39% |
0.09% |
0.01% |
0.00% |
| 126 |
Lesia Tsurenko |
1597 |
66.61% |
14.52% |
8.02% |
3.14% |
1.16% |
0.31% |
0.09% |
| 127 |
Bye |
|
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
| 128 |
Caroline Wozniacki |
1819 |
100.00% |
81.39% |
66.35% |
45.86% |
30.55% |
16.57% |
10.00% |
