Saturday, 15 July 2017

2017 Wimbledon Final Update

It's the final of Wimbledon, and we're about to crown the winners of the 3rd Grand Slam of the year! But before the matches start, let's take a look at some stats I calculated for the top 150 players after the jump:


Men's Rank± ELO
1-10-19
11-2069
21-5026
51-1005
101-150-34

I had Marin Cilic as #11 pre-tournament, so these numbers will change slightly after he plays Roger Federer. The clear winners at this tournament are the 11-20 ranked players, led by Cilic, but with Tomas Berdych, Milos Raonic and Gilles Muller performing well. The losers are the 101-150 group, with many of them losing ELO rating points, the major exceptions being Ernests Gulbis and Dudi Sela.



Women's Rank± ELO
1-10106
11-20-4
21-501
51-100-72
101-15010

Unlike the Men's above, this won't change after the Women's final, as both Garbine Muguruza and Venus Williams are top 10 players. The top 10 group has performed strongly this tournament with Johanna Konta and Svetlana Kuznetsva doing well alongside the 2 finalists. On the other hand, the 51-100 group disappointed here, the best of the group being Magdalena Rybarikova.

Now, my final ELO ratings and estimated percentage chances of winning:

Men's rankings

#NameELOWin%
1Roger Federer194771%
2Marin Cilic179229%

Women's rankings


#NameELOWin%
1Venus Williams174953%
2Garbine Muguruza172847%

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